Weekly Newsletter – 07/26/2015

Here’s a quick overview of the past week’s major political events:
  • Hillary Clinton sent classified email over her private server, despite her earlier denials.
    The Inspector General of the Intelligence Community sent a letter to Members of Congress on Thursday revealing that an internal government review found that, despite her earlier denials to the contrary, then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had, in fact, sent classified information via her private email server. Importantly, these were not emails where State Department officials decided to classify them after the fact; they contained classified information at the time she was sending them.

    The IG referred the matter to the FBI’s counterintelligence division, suggesting it warranted an investigation into the potential mishandling of classified information.

    And here’s the kicker – the four emails in question were drawn from a sample totaling just 40 emails in Secretary Clinton’s inbox. That’s a 1:10 ratio, and if anything like that ratio holds for the 30,000 emails Mrs. Clinton turned over to the State Department, we could be looking at literally thousands of classified emails having been sent over that private server, vulnerable to hacking by hostile foreign intelligence services.

    Read more here: http://www.wsj.com/articles/investigation-sought-into-hillary-clintons-emails-1437714369?mod=djemalertNEWS

  • Donald Trump threatens a third-party run.
    Donald Trump announced his candidacy over a month ago and, remarkably, has managed to stay in the news almost every day since that announcement – whether because of his immigration remarks, clashes with other presidential candidates, or the release of his financial records. This week was no exception. Earlier this week, Trump threatened to run as a third-party candidate if he is not the GOP nominee.

    He said he would wait and “…see how I’m being treated by the Republicans. Absolutely, if they’re not fair, that would be a factor.”

    Check it out here: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/248910-exclusive-trump-threatens-third-party-run

  •  And John Kasich makes 16.
    On Tuesday, Ohio Governor John Kasich jumped into an already-crowded GOP presidential nominating contest. He joins 15 other GOP presidential hopefuls. This is Kasich’s second bid for the White House – he briefly ran in 2000, but quickly exited the race, throwing his support behind George W. Bush.

    Kasich’s positions on a vast array of policy issues put him at odds with most tea party supporters. He supports both Medicaid expansion and Common Core, said in the past that he did not see any reason to make Ohio a “right to work” state, and says he is “open” to providing citizenship to illegal immigrants.

  • Rubio, Bush, and Walker all stronger than Clinton in key states.
    A new poll this week from Quinnipiac University shows that Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, and Scott Walker would each beat Hillary Clinton in three swing states: Iowa, Colorado, and Virginia.

    In Colorado, Clinton trails Rubio by 8 points, Bush by 5 points, and Walker by 9 points. In Iowa, she trails both Rubio and Bush by 6 points, and Walker by 8 points. The numbers are only slightly better for Clinton in Virginia, but she still comes 2 to 3 points behind each of the Republicans.

    Read the poll release here: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2261

  • Hillary’s likeability factor.
    A key factor that will determine Hillary Clinton’s electability is her “likability,” which includes voters’ feelings about her trustworthiness, integrity, and even her transparency. So far, the numbers do not look good for Clinton. According to the same Quinnipiac poll cited above, Clinton has overwhelmingly high unfavorable numbers. In Colorado, for example, 56% of voters have an unfavorable view of her, compared to a paltry 35% who have a positive view of her.
    http://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2015/07/23/425385484/is-hillary-clinton-likable-enough

 

The correct response to last week’s trivia question:
Question: What event occurred on May 4, 1963, that upended the 1964 GOP presidential nomination contest?
A: On May 4, 1963, New York Governor Nelson Rockefeller, the front-runner for the 1964 GOP nomination, married Mrs. Margaretta “Happy” Murphy, who just a month earlier had divorced her first husband, Dr. James S. Murphy. The Gallup organization fielded a survey just a few days after news of the marriage broke, and showed that in the space of less than a month, Rockefeller had dropped from a 43-26% lead over Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater to second place, trailing Goldwater by 40-29% — a 28-point move in the space of just a few weeks. Goldwater never looked back.